Best WNBA bets today: Monday's picks include Mercury vs. Sky play [8/3/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Monday, August 3, 2026.

Today’s best WNBA bets for August 3, 2026 are here, with Mercury vs. Sky and Aces vs. Dream among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s WNBA schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [8/3, updated 6:36PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, August 3, 2026.
Mercury vs. Sky Under 178.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 20.8%
- Probability: 69.8%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sky (9:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 178.5 points in Mercury vs. Sky at +104 odds. A 69.8% probability produces an edge of 20.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Aces vs. Dream Under 184.5 points (-104)
- Edge: 19.8%
- Probability: 70.8%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Dream (7:00PM ET)
Aces vs. Dream under 184.5 points carries a 19.8% edge and a probability of 70.8% at -104 odds, according to our model.
Storm vs. Liberty Under 181.5 points (+100)
- Edge: 18.7%
- Probability: 68.7%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
Storm vs. Liberty Under 181.5 points at +100 odds shows a 18.7% edge, supported by a 68.7% probability in simulations.
Dream ML (-125)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 65.5%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Dream (7:00PM ET)
A 9.9% edge and 65.5% probability makes Dream at the moneyline a value play in the Aces vs. Dream matchup, per our model.
Sky -1.5 (+127)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 49.6%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sky (9:00PM ET)
Sky -1.5 at +127 odds presents a 5.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 49.6%.
Dream -2.5 (-108)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Dream (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Dream -2.5 at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.
Sky ML (+120)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 49.5%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sky (9:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Mercury-Sky to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +120 odds. A 49.5% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
Storm +7.5 (+104)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 52.8%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
A 3.8% edge on a 52.8% probability makes Storm +7.5 at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Storm vs. Liberty matchup.
WNBA best bets summary: Monday, 8/3/2026
As of 6:36PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury vs. Sky | Under 178.5 points | +104 @ Polymarket | 20.8% | 69.8% |
| Aces vs. Dream | Under 184.5 points | -104 @ Polymarket | 19.8% | 70.8% |
| Storm vs. Liberty | Under 181.5 Points | +100 @ Polymarket | 18.7% | 68.7% |
| Aces vs. Dream | Dream ML | -125 @ Caesars | 9.9% | 65.5% |
| Mercury vs. Sky | Sky -1.5 | +127 @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 49.6% |
| Aces vs. Dream | Dream -2.5 | -108 @ BetRivers | 4.6% | 56.5% |
| Mercury vs. Sky | Sky ML | +120 @ Novig | 4.0% | 49.5% |
| Storm vs. Liberty | Storm +7.5 | +104 @ Polymarket | 3.8% | 52.8% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/3/2026]
- Aces vs. Dream (7:00PM ET, Monday)
- Storm vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Monday)
- Mercury vs. Sky (9:00PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 3, 2026, featuring plays such as under 178.5 points in the Mercury vs. Sky matchup and under 184.5 points in the Aces vs. Dream matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.



