Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Liberty vs. Dream play [10/4/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Sunday, October 4, 2026.

Today’s best WNBA bets for October 4, 2026 are here, with Liberty vs. Dream and Aces vs. Valkyries among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s WNBA playoffs action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets today [10/4, updated 2:34AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, October 4, 2026.
Dream ML (-160)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 70.3%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Dream (2:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Dream to defeat Liberty at -160 odds. A 70.3% probability produces an edge of 8.7%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Aces vs. Valkyries Over 161.5 points (+100)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Valkyries (4:00PM ET)
Aces vs. Valkyries over 161.5 points carries an 8.6% edge and a probability of 58.6% at 50¢ odds, according to our model.
Valkyries -1.5 (+113)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Valkyries (4:00PM ET)
Valkyries -1.5 vs. Aces at 47¢ odds shows a 6.5% edge, supported by a 53.4% probability in simulations.
Dream -3.5 (-108)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Dream (2:00PM ET)
A 5.6% edge and 57.5% probability makes Dream -3.5 vs. Liberty a value play in the Liberty vs. Dream matchup, per our model.
Valkyries ML (+104)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Valkyries (4:00PM ET)
Valkyries ML at 49¢ presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.8%.
Liberty vs. Dream Over 173.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Dream (2:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 173.5 points in Liberty vs. Dream at 49¢, supported by an edge of 3.4%.
WNBA Playoffs best bets summary: Sunday, 10/4/2026
As of 2:34AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty vs. Dream | Dream ML | -160 @ BetMGM | 8.7% | 70.3% |
| Aces vs. Valkyries | Over 161.5 points | 50¢ @ Polymarket | 8.6% | 58.6% |
| Aces vs. Valkyries | Valkyries -1.5 | 47¢ @ Polymarket | 6.5% | 53.4% |
| Liberty vs. Dream | Dream -3.5 vs. Liberty | 52¢ @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 57.5% |
| Aces vs. Valkyries | Valkyries ML | 49¢ @ Polymarket | 4.8% | 53.8% |
| Liberty vs. Dream | Over 173.5 Points | 49¢ @ Polymarket | 3.4% | 52.4% |
List of upcoming WNBA playoffs games to bet on [10/4/2026]
- Liberty vs. Dream (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Aces vs. Valkyries (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for October 4, 2026, featuring plays such as Dream ML vs. Liberty and over 161.5 points in the Aces vs. Valkyries matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.


