Aug 27, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, August 27, 2026
Read Article Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Valkyries vs. Liberty play [8/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, August 27, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 27, 2026 are here, with Valkyries vs. Liberty and Mystics vs. Mercury among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [8/27, updated 4:05AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, August 27, 2026.
Valkyries vs. Liberty Over 163.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 60.1%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 163.5 points in Valkyries vs. Liberty at +104 odds. A 60.1% probability produces an edge of 11.1%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Mystics ML (-162)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 71.2%
- Matchup: Mystics vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Mystics ML carries a 9.4% edge and a probability of 71.2% at -162 odds, according to our model.
Mystics vs. Mercury Over 166.5 points (-108)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 58%
- Matchup: Mystics vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Mystics vs. Mercury Over 166.5 points at -108 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.
Mystics -4.5 (+100)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: Mystics vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 4.7% edge and 54.7% probability makes Mystics -4.5 vs. Mercury a value play in the Mystics vs. Mercury matchup, per our model.
Valkyries +2.5 (+100)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Valkyries +2.5 at +100 odds presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.1%.
WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 8/27/2026
As of 4:05AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valkyries vs. Liberty | Over 163.5 points | +104 @ Polymarket | 11.1% | 60.1% |
| Mystics vs. Mercury | Mystics ML | -162 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 71.2% |
| Mystics vs. Mercury | Over 166.5 Points | -108 @ Polymarket | 6.0% | 58% |
| Mystics vs. Mercury | Mystics -4.5 vs. Mercury | +100 @ Polymarket | 4.7% | 54.7% |
| Valkyries vs. Liberty | Valkyries +2.5 | +100 @ Polymarket | 3.1% | 53.1% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/27/2026]
- Valkyries vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Mystics vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 27, 2026, featuring plays such as over 163.5 points in the Valkyries vs. Liberty matchup and Mystics ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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