Aug 22, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, August 22, 2026
Read Article Best WNBA bets today: Saturday's picks include Dream vs. Mercury play [8/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, August 22, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 22, 2026 are here, with Dream vs. Mercury and Fever vs. Liberty among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s WNBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to unearth top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [8/22, updated 4:06AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, August 22, 2026.
Dream ML (-205)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 75.5%
- Matchup: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Dream to defeat Mercury at -205 odds. A 75.5% probability produces an edge of 9.6%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Liberty ML (-112)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
Liberty ML carries a 6.6% edge and a probability of 59.5% at -112 odds, according to our model.
Fever vs. Liberty Under 186.5 points (+100)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
Fever vs. Liberty Under 186.5 points at +100 odds shows a 5.9% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.
Dream -5.5 (+100)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 55.7%
- Matchup: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 5.7% edge and 55.7% probability makes Dream -5.5 vs. Mercury a value play in the Dream vs. Mercury matchup, per our model.
Sparks ML (-155)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 66.2%
- Matchup: Sun vs. Sparks (9:00PM ET)
Sparks ML at -155 odds presents a 5.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 66.2%.
Sun vs. Sparks Over 166.5 points (+100)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Sun vs. Sparks (9:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 166.5 points in Sun vs. Sparks at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 5.3%.
Sparks -3.5 (-105)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Matchup: Sun vs. Sparks (9:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Sparks -3.5 at -105 odds. A 53.3% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
WNBA best bets summary: Saturday, 8/22/2026
As of 4:06AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream vs. Mercury | Dream ML | -205 @ DraftKings | 9.6% | 75.5% |
| Fever vs. Liberty | Liberty ML | -112 @ DraftKings | 6.6% | 59.5% |
| Fever vs. Liberty | Under 186.5 Points | +100 @ Polymarket | 5.9% | 55.9% |
| Dream vs. Mercury | Dream -5.5 vs. Mercury | +100 @ Novig | 5.7% | 55.7% |
| Sun vs. Sparks | Sparks ML | -155 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 66.2% |
| Sun vs. Sparks | Over 166.5 Points | +100 @ Polymarket | 5.3% | 55.3% |
| Sun vs. Sparks | Sparks -3.5 | -105 @ DraftKings | 2.0% | 53.3% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/22/2026]
- Fever vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Sun vs. Sparks (9:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Dream ML vs. Mercury and Liberty ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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