Aug 21, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, August 21, 2026
Read Article Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Lynx vs. Mystics play [8/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Friday, August 21, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 21, 2026 are here, with Lynx vs. Mystics among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s WNBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [8/21, updated 4:46AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Friday, August 21, 2026.
Mystics +3.5 (-104)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Mystics +3.5 at -104 odds. A 59.8% probability produces an edge of 8.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Lynx vs. Mystics Over 162.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
Lynx vs. Mystics over 162.5 points carries a 7.7% edge and a probability of 56.7% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Mystics ML (+150)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
Mystics ML at +150 odds shows a 7.2% edge, supported by a 47.2% probability in simulations.
Valkyries vs. Sky over 161.5 points (-108)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)
A 6.7% edge and 58.6% probability make Valkyries vs. Sky over 161.5 points a value play in the Valkyries vs. Sky matchup, per our model.
Sky +6.5 (-108)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 58%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)
Sky +6.5 at -108 odds presents a 6.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58%.
Sky ML (+239)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 34.3%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sky (7:30PM ET)
Our model finds value on Sky to win at +239 odds, supported by an edge of 4.8%.
Tempo +2.5 (+104)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 52%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Tempo (10:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Tempo +2.5 at +104 odds. A 52% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
WNBA best bets summary: Friday, 8/21/2026
As of 4:46AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx vs. Mystics | Mystics +3.5 | -104 @ Novig | 8.8% | 59.8% |
| Lynx vs. Mystics | Over 162.5 points | +104 @ Polymarket | 7.7% | 56.7% |
| Lynx vs. Mystics | Mystics ML | +150 @ Polymarket | 7.2% | 47.2% |
| Valkyries vs. Sky | Over 161.5 points | -108 @ Polymarket | 6.7% | 58.6% |
| Valkyries vs. Sky | Sky +6.5 | -108 @ Novig | 6.0% | 58% |
| Valkyries vs. Sky | Sky ML | +239 @ Novig | 4.8% | 34.3% |
| Fire vs. Tempo | Tempo +2.5 | +104 @ Polymarket | 2.9% | 52% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/21/2026]
- Lynx vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Valkyries vs. Sky (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Fire vs. Tempo (10:00PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 21, 2026, featuring plays such as Mystics +3.5 vs. Lynx and over 162.5 points also in the Lynx vs. Mystics matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
EARLY BIRD PRICE
6 months of Dimers Pro
Full football season covered
NFL + College Football
One payment. Renews in 6 months.
Your Pro access is locked in for 6 months. Cancel or pause anytime.
Access to every sport, all season long.
Everything in Dimers Pro - not just football
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure
