Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Fever vs. Dream play [8/16/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 16, 2026 are here, with Fever vs. Dream and Fire vs. Mercury among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s WNBA slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest WNBA odds to uncover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets today [8/16, updated 2:16AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
Dream ML (-117)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Dream to defeat Fever at -117 odds. A 61.8% probability produces an edge of 7.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Mercury ML (-194)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 73.4%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)
Mercury ML carries a 7.4% edge and a probability of 73.4% at -194 odds, according to our model.
Fever vs. Dream Under 187.5 points (+102)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)
Fever vs. Dream Under 187.5 points at +102 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 55.3% probability in simulations.
Sky vs. Storm under 178.5 points (-108)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Matchup: Sky vs. Storm (5:00PM ET)
A 5.3% edge and 57.2% probability make Sky vs. Storm under 178.5 points a value play in the Sky vs. Storm matchup, per our model.
Dream -1.5 (-104)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)
Dream -1.5 at -104 odds presents a 5.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56%.
Mercury -5.5 (+100)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Mercury -5.5 at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.
WNBA best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026
As of 2:16AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever vs. Dream | Dream ML | -117 @ Novig | 7.8% | 61.8% |
| Fire vs. Mercury | Mercury ML | -194 @ Polymarket | 7.4% | 73.4% |
| Fever vs. Dream | Under 187.5 Points | +102 @ Novig | 5.8% | 55.3% |
| Sky vs. Storm | Under 178.5 points | -108 @ Polymarket | 5.3% | 57.2% |
| Fever vs. Dream | Dream -1.5 | -104 @ Polymarket | 5.0% | 56% |
| Fire vs. Mercury | Mercury -5.5 | +100 @ Novig | 4.5% | 54.5% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/16/2026]
- Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Sky vs. Storm (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Dream ML vs. Fever and Mercury ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
