Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Fire vs. Mercury play [8/16/2026]

Today’s best WNBA bets for August 16, 2026 are here, with Fire vs. Mercury and Fever vs. Dream among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s WNBA play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets today [8/16, updated 4:42PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, August 16, 2026.

Fire +5.5 (+108)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Fire +5.5 at +108 odds. A 58.5% probability produces an edge of 10.4%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Dream ML (+100)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)

Dream ML carries a 9.5% edge and a probability of 59.5% at +100 odds, according to our model.

Fever vs. Dream Under 187.5 points (+102)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)

Fever vs. Dream Under 187.5 points at +102 odds shows a 8.5% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.

Dream -1.5 (+106)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)

A 6.1% edge and 54.7% probability makes Dream -1.5 vs. Fever a value play in the Fever vs. Dream matchup, per our model.

Sky vs. Storm Under 177.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Storm (5:00PM ET)

Sky vs. Storm Under 177.5 points at +100 odds presents a 6.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56%.

Fire vs. Mercury Under 178.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 178.5 points in Fire vs. Mercury at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Fire ML (+186)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 38.6%
• Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Fire-Mercury to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +186 odds. A 38.6% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Sky ML (-125)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Storm (5:00PM ET)

A 2.3% edge on a 57.8% probability makes Sky to win at -125 odds a solid value play in today's Sky vs. Storm matchup.

WNBA best bets summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026

As of 4:42PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/16/2026]

• Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Sky vs. Storm (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Fire +5.5 vs. Mercury and Dream ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.