Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Mercury vs. Mystics play [8/9/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Sunday, August 9, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 9, 2026 are here, with Mercury vs. Mystics among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s WNBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to discover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets today [8/9, updated 11:57AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, August 9, 2026.
For an example of how these best bets can result in big wins, check out these three recent WNBA parlay wins from Dimers Pro users.
Mystics ML (-106)
- Edge: 12.4%
- Probability: 63.8%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Mystics (3:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Mystics to defeat Mercury at -106 odds. A 63.8% probability produces an edge of 12.4%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Mercury vs. Mystics Over 168.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 58%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Mystics (3:00PM ET)
Mercury vs. Mystics over 168.5 points carries a 9.0% edge and a probability of 58% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Valkyries vs. Sparks Over 169.5 points (+102)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 58%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sparks (7:00PM ET)
Valkyries vs. Sparks Over 169.5 points at +102 odds shows a 8.4% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.
Mystics -1.5 (+100)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Mystics (3:00PM ET)
An 8.1% edge and 58.1% probability makes Mystics -1.5 vs. Mercury a value play in the Mercury vs. Mystics matchup, per our model.
Liberty ML (-456)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 87.8%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Liberty (12:30PM ET)
Liberty ML at -456 odds presents a 5.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 87.8%.
Wings +5.5 (-104)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Lynx (3:30PM ET)
Our model finds value on Wings +5.5 at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 4.8%.
Aces vs. Liberty Over 176.5 points (+113)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 51.5%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Liberty (12:30PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Aces vs. Liberty Over 176.5 points at +113 odds. A 51.5% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
Wings ML (+208)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 35.8%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Lynx (3:30PM ET)
A 3.4% edge on a 35.8% probability makes Wings to win at +208 odds a solid value play in today's Wings vs. Lynx matchup.
Valkyries ML (-223)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 72.2%
- Matchup: Valkyries vs. Sparks (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects value on Valkyries to win at -223 odds. A 72.2% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making Valkyries the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Liberty -11.5 (-104)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Liberty (12:30PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Liberty -11.5 at -104 odds shows a 53.1% probability and a 2.1% edge.
WNBA best bets summary: Sunday, 8/9/2026
As of 11:57AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury vs. Mystics | Mystics ML | -106 @ Novig | 12.4% | 63.8% |
| Mercury vs. Mystics | Over 168.5 points | +104 @ Polymarket | 9.0% | 58% |
| Valkyries vs. Sparks | Over 169.5 Points | +102 @ Novig | 8.4% | 58% |
| Mercury vs. Mystics | Mystics -1.5 vs. Mercury | +100 @ Novig | 8.1% | 58.1% |
| Aces vs. Liberty | Liberty ML | -456 @ Polymarket | 5.8% | 87.8% |
| Wings vs. Lynx | Wings +5.5 | -104 @ Polymarket | 4.8% | 55.8% |
| Aces vs. Liberty | Over 176.5 Points | +113 @ Polymarket | 4.5% | 51.5% |
| Wings vs. Lynx | Wings ML | +208 @ Novig | 3.4% | 35.8% |
| Valkyries vs. Sparks | Valkyries ML | -223 @ Novig | 3.2% | 72.2% |
| Aces vs. Liberty | Liberty -11.5 | -104 @ Polymarket | 2.1% | 53.1% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/9/2026]
- Aces vs. Liberty (12:30PM ET, Sunday)
- Mercury vs. Mystics (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Wings vs. Lynx (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
- Valkyries vs. Sparks (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
See How Dimers Pro Enhances Your Best Bets
Ready to take your betting to the next level? See how Dimers Pro boosts our best bets by watching this explainer video.
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Mystics ML vs. Mercury and over 168.5 points also in the Mercury vs. Mystics matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
