Mystics vs. Fire prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/23/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 68.5% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Mystics (-4.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 57.8% chance of going over.

Mystics vs. Fire odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics -4.5 (-104) / Fire +4.5 (+108)
• Moneyline: Mystics -180, Fire +178

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fire +4.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mystics @ -180 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 166.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 166.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Fire player props

Looking for Washington vs. Portland WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 15 points, 2 rebounds and 6 assists for the Fire.

For early game action, the data identifies Shakira Austin as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	15	9	3	1	36
Sonia Citron	15	3	6	1	33
Kiki Iriafen	14	9	2	0	30
M. Onyenwere	9	3	2	1	18
Cotie McMahon	7	5	2	1	19

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	15	2	6	1	31
Megan Gustafson	13	7	1	2	27
B. Carleton	13	5	2	2	27
Emily Engstler	8	5	2	1	25
H. Winterburn	8	2	3	0	16

Mystics vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Fire and Mystics at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 68.5% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

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