Mystics vs. Fever prediction sees Caitlin Clark projected to score 24 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [9/20/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 68.2% win probability for the Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Indiana Fever will face the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Mystics vs. Fever prediction.
The Fever, with star players such as Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 24 points and 3 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Fever prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 68.2% chance of defeating the Mystics. According to our model, the Mystics (+6.5) have a 56.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 51.9% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 (-102) / Fever -6.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Mystics +223, Fever -233
- Total: Over/Under 178.5 (-102/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Mystics @ 31¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Under 178.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Top player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's Mystics vs. Fever matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 26 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kelsey Mitchell is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics player props
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Sonia Citron | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
| Georgia Amoore | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| M. Onyenwere | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
Fever player props
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 26 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 39 |
| Caitlin Clark | 24 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 52 |
| Aliyah Boston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| Makayla Timpson | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| M. Billings | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Game info & tip-off details
Sunday's action between the Fever and Mystics at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 68.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



