Tempo vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/6/2026]

The Portland Fire will take on the Toronto Tempo in WNBA action at Moda Center on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fire as the most likely winner in this Tempo vs. Fire prediction.

The Fire, with the likes of Bridget Carleton, Carla Leite and Megan Gustafson, are set to take on the Tempo, who feature Marina Mabrey, Nyara Sabally and Laura Juskaite.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Tempo vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Fire a 60.0% chance of defeating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Fire (-2.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 187.5 points has a 57.9% chance of staying under,.

Tempo vs. Fire odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tempo	Fire
Spread	+2.5 (-104)	-2.5 (+104)
Moneyline	+133	-133
Total	o187.5 (-102)	u187.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tempo vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fire -2.5	+104
Moneyline	Fire	-133
Total	Under 187.5	+100

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 187.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tempo vs. Fire player props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on the Tempo vs. Fire game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Bridget Carleton is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Fire.

For early game action, the data identifies Nyara Sabally as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Tempo prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Marina Mabrey	19	4	4	3	36
Nyara Sabally	18	6	2	2	34
Laura Juskaite	12	5	2	1	26
Aneesah Morrow	10	6	1	1	23
Maria Conde	10	5	3	2	24

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
B. Carleton	19	6	2	5	37
Carla Leite	16	3	7	1	34
Megan Gustafson	13	5	1	1	26
Emily Engstler	9	6	2	1	28
Frieda Buhner	8	3	1	1	17

Tempo vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Fire and Tempo at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Fire, with a 60.0% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.