Storm vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/8/2026]
Get Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Portland Fire will take on the Seattle Storm, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Moda Center on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Fire a slight edge with a 53.1% win probability over the Storm.
The Fire, powered by Bridget Carleton, Carla Leite and Megan Gustafson, are set to take on the Storm, who feature Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Storm vs. Fire matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Fire a 53.1% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+1.5) have a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 55.9% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Fire odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +108 via Novig
- Moneyline: Fire @ -106 via Novig
- Total: Under 181.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Fire @ -106 via Novig
- Total: Under 181.5 @ -110 via DraftKings According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Seattle vs. Portland matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 17 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Bridget Carleton is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Fire.
For early game action, the data identifies Dominique Malonga as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| N. Hiedeman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| F. Johnson | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Awa Fam | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Jade Melbourne | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carleton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 35 |
| Carla Leite | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 36 |
| Megan Gustafson | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Storm vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Fire and Storm at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fire, with a 53.1% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
