Storm vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [8/5/2026]

The New York Liberty will face the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner in this Storm vs. Liberty prediction.

The Liberty, with star players such as Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Storm, who feature Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Liberty a 75.9% chance of defeating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+8) have a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 53.6% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Liberty odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Liberty
Spread	+8 (-110)	-8 (-105)
Moneyline	+317	-335
Total	o182.5 (-108)	u182.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +8	-110
Moneyline	Storm	+317
Total	Under 182.5	fanatics+104

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Liberty player props

Betting on Storm vs. Liberty WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 14.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	17	3	5	2	35
D. Malonga	15	8	2	1	34
F. Johnson	13	4	3	1	28
Awa Fam	10	6	2	1	25
Jade Melbourne	8	2	4	1	21

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	20	8	4	1	43
Sabrina Ionescu	17	5	5	3	36
Jonquel Jones	13	8	6	2	37
Pauline Astier	9	3	3	1	20
Han Xu	8	3	1	2	18

Storm vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Liberty and Storm at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 75.9% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.