Storm vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Monday's WNBA game [8/3/2026]

The New York Liberty will face the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner in this Storm vs. Liberty prediction.

The Liberty, with stars like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, will face off against the Storm, who feature Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA game between the Storm and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 74.2% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+7.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182 points has a 69.1% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Liberty odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Liberty
Spread	+7.5 (+100)	-7.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+300	-317
Total	o182 (-115)	u182 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +7.5	+100
Moneyline	Storm	+300
Total	Under 182	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Liberty player props

Looking for Storm vs. Liberty WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 22 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dominique Malonga as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	18	3	5	2	34
D. Malonga	14	8	2	1	33
F. Johnson	14	4	2	1	27
Awa Fam	11	6	3	2	27
Jade Melbourne	9	2	4	0	20

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	22	9	3	1	45
Sabrina Ionescu	19	6	6	2	40
Jonquel Jones	14	8	3	2	33
Pauline Astier	9	3	3	0	21
Han Xu	8	3	1	2	17

Storm vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Liberty and Storm at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 74.2% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.