Fire vs. Tempo prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [8/21/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Fire and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Fire a 59.9% chance of beating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+3.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 52.5% chance of staying under.

Fire vs. Tempo odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fire -3.5 (+104) / Tempo +3.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Fire -138, Tempo +141

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tempo +3.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Fire @ -138 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 182.5 @ -102 via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Tempo player props

Betting on Portland vs. Toronto WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rogers Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists, while Isabelle Harrison is projected to have 12 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Tempo.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Brittney Sykes striking first with a 13.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	16	3	6	2	34
Megan Gustafson	14	5	1	1	25
B. Carleton	14	7	2	3	31
Emily Engstler	10	6	2	1	27
Frieda Buhner	8	4	1	2	16

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
I. Harrison	12	6	2	1	26
Laura Juskaite	12	5	2	1	25
Kiki Rice	11	4	4	1	26
Brittney Sykes	11	3	3	1	22
Aneesah Morrow	11	8	1	1	27

Fire vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Tempo and Fire at Rogers Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Rogers Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Fire, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Friday's WNBA matchup.

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