Fire vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Friday's WNBA game [8/14/2026]

The Seattle Storm will face the Portland Fire in WNBA action at Climate Pledge Arena on Friday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Storm as the most likely winner in this Fire vs. Storm prediction.

The Storm, who have the likes of Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Jade Melbourne, are set to take on the Fire, whose lineup includes Bridget Carleton, Megan Gustafson and Carla Leite.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Fire and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Storm a 68.3% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Storm (-2.5) have a 58.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 55.1% chance of staying under,.

Fire vs. Storm odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fire +2.5 (-104) / Storm -2.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Fire +132, Storm -117

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Storm -2.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Storm @ -117 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 181.5 @ +100 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Storm player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Portland vs. Seattle matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Bridget Carleton is expected to lead the Fire with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 18 points, 10 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 18% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
B. Carleton	18	7	2	4	36
Megan Gustafson	12	5	1	1	23
Carla Leite	11	2	5	1	24
Nyadiew Puoch	9	3	1	1	17
Emily Engstler	9	5	2	1	26

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	18	10	2	1	41
N. Hiedeman	16	3	5	2	33
Jade Melbourne	10	2	5	1	24
Zia Cooke	9	2	1	1	16
Ezi Magbegor	8	5	3	1	26

Fire vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Storm and Fire at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 68.3% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.