Fire vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Friday's WNBA game [8/14/2026]
Get Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Friday.
WNBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Portland Fire lock horns with the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Storm as the most likely winner in this Fire vs. Storm prediction.
The Storm, who have the likes of Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Jade Melbourne, will face off against the Fire, who feature Bridget Carleton, Megan Gustafson and Carla Leite.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Storm a 70.7% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Storm (-3.5) have a 57.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180.5 points has a 53.3% chance of staying under,.
Fire vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Fire +3.5 (-104) / Storm -3.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Fire +144, Storm -144
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Storm -3.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Storm @ -144 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 180.5 @ -113 via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Storm player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Fire vs. Storm game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Bridget Carleton is expected to lead the Fire with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 18 points, 10 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dominique Malonga as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carleton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 36 |
| Megan Gustafson | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Carla Leite | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 |
| Nyadiew Puoch | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| N. Hiedeman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Jade Melbourne | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 |
| Zia Cooke | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| Ezi Magbegor | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
Fire vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Storm and Fire at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 70.7% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
