Sep 20, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Storm vs. Aces play [9/20/2026]
Read Article Fire vs. Sparks prediction favors Los Angeles to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [9/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.4% win probability for the Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.
The Los Angeles Sparks will square off with the Portland Fire, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Sparks a slight edge with a 54.4% win probability over the Fire.
The Sparks, who have star players like Nneka Ogwumike, Rae Burrell and Monique Akoa-Makani, are set to take on the Fire, featuring Carla Leite, Megan DiLeo and Bridget Carleton.
This article offers a complete Fire vs. Sparks prediction, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Sparks prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Fire and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Sparks a 54.4% chance of beating the Fire. According to our model, the Fire (+1.5) have a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 54.4% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Fire +1.5 (-110) / Sparks -1.5 (+108)
- Moneyline: Fire +104, Sparks -108
- Total: Over/Under 176.5 (-102/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Sparks -1.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Sparks @ 52¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Under 176.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Top player props
Looking for Portland vs. Los Angeles WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 17 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Nneka Ogwumike as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire player props
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 34 |
| Megan DiLeo | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| B. Carleton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Sparks player props
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 36 |
| Rae Burrell | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| M. Akoa-Makani | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 24 |
| Emma Cannon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Game info & tip-off details
Sunday's action between the Sparks and Fire at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 54.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Every Bet, Every Game, Every Day Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$119.99 $149.99
6 months $20 per month Save $30.00 · 20% LIMITED TIME OFFER BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$169.99 $199.99
12 months $14.17 per month Save $30.00 · 15% LIMITED TIME OFFER Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
