Fire vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA game [7/28/2026]

The Las Vegas Aces and Portland Fire will meet in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Fire vs. Aces prediction game.

The Aces, powered by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, are set to take on the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Fire and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Aces an 85.0% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Fire (+12.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 176.5-point over/under has a 56.3% chance of staying under,.

Fire vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fire	Aces
Spread	+12.5 (-108)	-12.5 (+104)
Moneyline	+614	-669
Total	o176.5 (-108)	u176.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fire +12.5	-108
Moneyline	Fire	+614
Total	Under 176.5	+104

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Aces player props

Betting on Portland vs. Las Vegas WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 35 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.

When evaluating the first basket market, A'ja Wilson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	16	3	5	1	30
Megan Gustafson	13	4	1	2	23
B. Carleton	10	4	2	2	22
Emily Engstler	8	5	2	1	24
Frieda Buhner	7	2	1	1	13

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	35	10	4	1	64
Jackie Young	17	4	7	2	39
Chelsea Gray	12	3	8	2	35
NaLyssa Smith	10	5	1	0	20
Jewell Loyd	9	3	2	2	20

Fire vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Aces and Fire at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.