Liberty vs. Tempo prediction: Why New York is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [9/20/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Liberty an 86.9% chance of beating the Tempo. According to our model, the Tempo (+13.5) have a 55.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 53.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Liberty -13.5 (-108) / Tempo +13.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Liberty -733, Tempo +700
• Total: Over/Under 176.5 (+100/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tempo +13.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Tempo @ +700 via BetMGM
• Total: Over 176.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Liberty vs. Tempo matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Isabelle Harrison is projected to have 13 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Tempo.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kiki Rice as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Liberty player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	17	7	3	1	37
Jonquel Jones	15	9	2	2	35
Sabrina Ionescu	14	4	5	2	32
Pauline Astier	9	3	3	1	20
Leonie Fiebich	9	3	2	2	20

Tempo player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
I. Harrison	13	7	2	1	29
Kiki Rice	12	4	5	1	27
Laura Juskaite	11	5	2	1	25
Kia Nurse	7	2	1	1	13
Nyara Sabally	7	4	1	1	17

Game info & tip-off details

Sunday's game between the Tempo and Liberty at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with an 86.9% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.