Lynx vs. Fever prediction sees Caitlin Clark projected to score 22 points in Tuesday's WNBA matchup [9/22/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.0% win probability for the Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Minnesota Lynx take on the Indiana Fever in WNBA action.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever WNBA prediction for Tuesday, September 22, 2026.

The Indiana Fever will take on the Minnesota Lynx, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Fever a slight edge with a 51.0% win probability over the Lynx.

The Fever, with the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Lynx, who feature Napheesa Collier, Olivia Miles and Kayla McBride.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 22 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a complete Lynx vs. Fever prediction, including best bets and player prop picks.

Lynx vs. Fever prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 51.0% chance of defeating the Lynx. According to our model, the Fever (+1.5) have a 57.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 184.5 points has a 55.4% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Lynx -1.5 (+113) / Fever +1.5 (-116)
  • Moneyline: Lynx +100, Fever +100
  • Total: Over/Under 184.5 (-105/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Fever +1.5 @ -116 via FanDuel
  • Moneyline: Fever @ 50¢ via Polymarket
  • Total: Under 184.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 184.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Betting on Lynx vs. Fever WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Napheesa Collier is expected to lead the Lynx with 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 24 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14.9% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
N. Collier 19 7 3 2 40
Olivia Miles 18 5 6 2 39
Kayla McBride 17 3 3 3 31
C. Williams 13 5 4 1 29
Natasha Howard 11 6 3 0 29

Fever player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Kelsey Mitchell 24 2 3 5 38
Caitlin Clark 22 4 9 3 49
Aliyah Boston 14 8 3 1 34
Makayla Timpson 9 5 1 0 20
S. Cunningham 5 2 1 1 11

Game info & tip-off details

Tuesday's matchup between the Fever and Lynx at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 51.0% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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