Aces vs. Tempo prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/23/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Aces and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Aces a 79.6% chance of beating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+13.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 53.5% chance of staying under.

Aces vs. Tempo odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Aces -13.5 (+100) / Tempo +13.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Aces -600, Tempo +669

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tempo +13.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Tempo @ +669 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 181.5 @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Tempo player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's Las Vegas vs. Toronto matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rogers Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Laura Juskaite is projected to have 13 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Tempo.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	26	10	3	1	52
Jackie Young	19	4	7	4	41
NaLyssa Smith	12	6	1	0	25
Chelsea Gray	12	3	6	2	31
Jewell Loyd	7	3	2	2	17

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Laura Juskaite	13	6	2	1	28
I. Harrison	12	6	2	1	29
Kiki Rice	11	4	5	1	27
Kia Nurse	11	3	2	3	21
Julie Allemand	7	4	6	1	26

Aces vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Tempo and Aces at Rogers Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Rogers Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 79.6% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

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