Aces vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/8/2026]
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Target Center on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Lynx prediction.
The Lynx, who have star players such as Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles, are set to take on the Aces, who feature A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 72.8% chance of beating the Aces.
According to our model, the Lynx (-5.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 183.5-point over/under has a 55.4% chance of staying under,.
Aces vs. Lynx odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Lynx -5.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Lynx @ -194 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 183.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Lynx -5.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Lynx @ -194 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 183.5 @ -110 via BetMGM According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lynx to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Lynx player props
Looking for Las Vegas vs. Minnesota WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Napheesa Collier is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 52 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| Olivia Miles | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Natasha Howard | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
| C. Williams | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
Aces vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Lynx and Aces at Target Center is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
