Sep 29, 2026
Lynx vs. Liberty prediction favors Minnesota to win Tuesday's WNBA game [9/29/2026]
Read Article Aces vs. Fever prediction sees Caitlin Clark projected to score 23 points in Tuesday's WNBA matchup [9/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 60.2% win probability for the Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces will lock horns in the WNBA Playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, starting at 6:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Fever prediction.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Jewell Loyd.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 23 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Fever prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Aces and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Fever a 60.2% chance of defeating the Aces. According to our model, the Fever (+0.5) have a 59.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 183.5 points has a 57.3% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Aces -0.5 (-115) / Fever +0.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Aces +113, Fever -108
- Total: Over/Under 183.5 (-104/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Fever +0.5 @ -108 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Fever @ -108 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 183.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Fever to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Top player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Tuesday's Aces vs. Fever game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 24 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 25 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to A'ja Wilson striking first with a 19% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces player props
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 49 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 40 |
| Jewell Loyd | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 |
| Chelsea Gray | 10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 30 |
| S. Talbot | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
Fever player props
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 25 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| Caitlin Clark | 23 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 50 |
| Aliyah Boston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Makayla Timpson | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| S. Cunningham | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
Game info & tip-off details
Tuesday's matchup between the Fever and Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 60.2% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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