Fever vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [7/5/2026]

The Las Vegas Aces will take on the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at T-Mobile Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Aces game.

The Aces, with the likes of Jackie Young, Chennedy Carter and Chelsea Gray, are set to take on the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Tyasha Harris.

Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Aces a 66.2% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Aces (-3.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 180.5-point over/under has a 68.7% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Aces
Spread	+3.5 (-118)	-3.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+130	-150
Total	o180.5 (-110)	u180.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Aces -3.5	-104
Moneyline	Aces	-150
Total	Under 180.5	-106

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Aces player props

Betting on Indiana vs. Las Vegas WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at T-Mobile Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 21 points, 1 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jackie Young is projected to have 19 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Aces.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kelsey Mitchell as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	21	1	3	3	31
Aliyah Boston	16	10	4	1	39
Tyasha Harris	9	2	2	1	18
S. Cunningham	8	3	1	2	16
M. Billings	6	4	1	0	15

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jackie Young	19	5	6	2	40
Chennedy Carter	17	3	3	0	28
Chelsea Gray	12	4	7	2	35
Jewell Loyd	11	3	1	2	21
Cheyenne Parker	10	4	2	0	22

Fever vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Aces and Fever at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 66.2% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.