Fever vs. Aces prediction sees Caitlin Clark projected to score 23 points in Sunday's WNBA game [9/27/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Fever and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces a 60.7% chance of defeating the Fever. According to our model, the Fever (+3.5) have a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 53.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fever +3.5 (+108) / Aces -3.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Fever +163, Aces -170
• Total: Over/Under 182.5 (-104/-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fever +3.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Fever @ 38¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Under 182.5 @ -107 via Fanatics

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fever +3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Looking for Indiana vs. Las Vegas WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 26 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 24 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.

For early game action, the data identifies A'ja Wilson as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	26	2	3	3	38
Caitlin Clark	23	4	9	3	50
Aliyah Boston	15	8	3	1	37
Makayla Timpson	7	7	1	0	22
S. Cunningham	5	2	1	1	12

Aces player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	24	9	3	1	49
Jackie Young	19	4	8	3	40
Jewell Loyd	14	3	1	4	24
Chelsea Gray	11	3	6	2	30
S. Talbot	5	3	1	1	13

Game info & tip-off details

Sunday's game between the Aces and Fever at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 60.7% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.