Valkyries vs. Fire prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [9/22/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Valkyries an 84.7% chance of defeating the Fire. According to our model, the Fire (+14.5) have a 64.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 61.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries -14.5 (+100) / Fire +14.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Valkyries -900, Fire +900
• Total: Over/Under 157.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fire +14.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Fire @ 10¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 157.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fire +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Valkyries vs. Fire game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 11 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Fire.

When evaluating the first basket market, Gabby Williams is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.4% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Veronica Burton	11	3	5	1	29
Gabby Williams	11	3	2	1	21
Kaitlyn Chen	9	2	2	2	17
C. Zandalasini	9	3	2	1	18
Janelle Salaun	8	3	1	2	16

Fire player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	15	3	6	2	32
Megan DiLeo	12	5	1	1	23
Emily Engstler	9	5	2	2	25
B. Carleton	8	3	2	2	19
Nyadiew Puoch	7	4	1	1	16

Game info & tip-off details

Tuesday's matchup between the Fire and Valkyries at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with an 84.7% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.