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Read Article Valkyries vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The New York Liberty will take on the Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Thursday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner in this Valkyries vs. Liberty prediction.
The Liberty, with the likes of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Valkyries, featuring Gabby Williams, Janelle Salaun and Veronica Burton.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 58.0% chance of beating the Valkyries.
According to our model, the Valkyries (+3.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 60.6% chance of going over.
Valkyries vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Valkyries +3.5 (-108) / Liberty -3.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Valkyries +138, Liberty -144
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Valkyries +3.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Valkyries @ +138 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 162.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 162.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Liberty player props
Looking for Valkyries vs. Liberty WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Gabby Williams as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Janelle Salaun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Veronica Burton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| C. Zandalasini | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Jonquel Jones | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Rebecca Allen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Valkyries vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Liberty and Valkyries at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 58.0% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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