Valkyries vs. Sparks prediction favors Golden State to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Valkyries and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Valkyries an 89.1% chance of beating the Sparks. According to our model, the Valkyries (-11.5) have a 56.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 59.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries -11.5 (+104) / Sparks +11.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Valkyries -488, Sparks +471
• Total: Over/Under 158.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valkyries -11.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Valkyries @ 83¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 158.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 158.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Valkyries vs. Sparks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 14 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Gabby Williams striking first with a 16.2% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Gabby Williams	14	4	2	2	28
Tiffany Hayes	12	3	3	1	24
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	1	31
Janelle Salaun	11	4	1	2	20
Kaila Charles	8	6	2	1	22

Sparks player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	3	1	35
Rae Burrell	14	3	2	2	26
Dearica Hamby	12	6	2	0	27
Erica Wheeler	11	2	4	3	24
Ariel Atkins	8	3	2	1	20

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's action between the Sparks and Valkyries at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with an 89.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.