Valkyries vs. Wings prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA game [9/30/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 65.0% win probability for the Valkyries at College Park Center.

The Golden State Valkyries take on the Dallas Wings in WNBA action.
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings WNBA prediction for Wednesday, September 30, 2026.

The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries will meet in the WNBA Playoffs at College Park Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner in this Valkyries vs. Wings prediction.

The Wings, with star players such as Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Valkyries, who feature Gabby Williams, Janelle Salaun and Veronica Burton.

Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.

Paige Bueckers 2026.
Wings star Paige Bueckers is projected to score 19 points against the Valkyries.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Valkyries vs. Wings prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Valkyries and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Valkyries a 65.0% chance of beating the Wings. According to our model, the Wings (+3.5) have a 54.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 62.4% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Valkyries -3.5 (-116) / Wings +3.5 (-103)
  • Moneyline: Valkyries -167, Wings +152
  • Total: Over/Under 157.5 (+102/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Wings +3.5 @ 51¢ via Kalshi
  • Moneyline: Valkyries @ 63¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 157.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 157.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Wednesday's Valkyries vs. Wings matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 13 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.

For early game action, the data identifies Paige Bueckers as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Gabby Williams 13 3 2 2 25
Janelle Salaun 12 4 1 2 22
Veronica Burton 10 3 5 1 26
Tiffany Hayes 9 2 3 1 20
C. Zandalasini 9 2 2 2 18

Wings player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Paige Bueckers 19 4 5 3 38
A. Ogunbowale 14 3 4 2 28
Jessica Shepard 13 10 8 0 41
Maddy Siegrist 8 4 1 1 17
Awak Kuier 7 5 1 2 23

Game info & tip-off details

Wednesday's action between the Wings and Valkyries at College Park Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 65.0% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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