Wings vs. Storm prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Wednesday's WNBA game [9/23/2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 78.6% win probability for the Wings at Climate Pledge Arena.

The Dallas Wings take on the Seattle Storm in WNBA action.
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm WNBA prediction for Wednesday, September 23, 2026.

The Seattle Storm will take on the favored Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner in this Wings vs. Storm prediction.

The Storm, who have the likes of Flau'jae Johnson, Dominique Malonga and Natisha Hiedeman, are set to take on the Wings, featuring Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.

Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 3 threes.

Paige Bueckers 2026.
Wings star Paige Bueckers is projected to score 18 points against the Storm.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Storm prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Wings a 78.6% chance of defeating the Storm. According to our model, the Wings (-8.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 173.5 points has a 52.8% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Wings -8.5 (+113) / Storm +8.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Wings -317, Storm +317
  • Total: Over/Under 173.5 (-104/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Wings -8.5 @ 47¢ via Polymarket
  • Moneyline: Wings @ 76¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 173.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings -8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Betting on Wings vs. Storm WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Flau'jae Johnson is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Storm.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Paige Bueckers striking first with a 15% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Paige Bueckers 18 4 6 3 37
A. Ogunbowale 15 3 4 2 28
Jessica Shepard 13 10 5 0 37
Awak Kuier 8 5 1 1 25
Maddy Siegrist 8 4 1 1 17

Storm player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
F. Johnson 15 5 3 3 33
D. Malonga 14 8 2 1 33
N. Hiedeman 14 3 5 2 29
Awa Fam 8 5 2 1 22
Jade Melbourne 7 2 3 1 17

Game info & tip-off details

Wednesday's action between the Storm and Wings at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm
  • Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Wings, with a 78.6% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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