Wings vs. Lynx prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/9/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Wings vs. Lynx prediction.

The Lynx, powered by Napheesa Collier, Olivia Miles and Kayla McBride, will face off against the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.

Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 2 threes.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 64.8% chance of beating the Wings.

According to our model, the Wings (+7.5) have a 63.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 51.0% chance of staying under,.

Wings vs. Lynx odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Wings +7.5 @ -108 via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Wings @ +264 via Novig
• Total: Under 178.5 @ -104 via Polymarket

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wings vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Wings +7.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Wings @ +264 via Novig
• Total: Under 178.5 @ -104 via Polymarket According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wings vs. Lynx player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Dallas vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Napheesa Collier is projected to have 20 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	17	4	5	2	33
A. Ogunbowale	14	3	3	2	27
Jessica Shepard	12	11	5	0	35
Alanna Smith	12	5	1	2	26
Aziaha James	11	5	2	1	24

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Collier	20	7	3	2	43
Olivia Miles	18	5	6	3	39
Kayla McBride	16	3	2	3	30
C. Williams	14	5	5	1	33
Natasha Howard	12	7	4	0	33

Wings vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Lynx and Wings at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 64.8% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.