Wings vs. Valkyries prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 16 points in Game 3 [2026 WNBA Playoffs]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Valkyries a 68.6% chance of beating the Wings in Game 3 of the series. According to our model, the Wings (+7.5) have a 58.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 159.5 points has a 58.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Wings +7.5 (+113) / Valkyries -7.5 (-117)
• Moneyline: Wings +335, Valkyries -335
• Total: Over/Under 159.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for Game 3

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Wings +7.5 @ 47¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Wings @ 23¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 159.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top Game 3 player props

Betting on Dallas vs. Golden State WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Gabby Williams is projected to have 13 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Valkyries.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Gabby Williams striking first with a 16.3% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

• Paige Bueckers: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
• Arike Ogunbowale: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST
• Jessica Shepard: 12 PTS, 11 REB, 5 AST
• Alysha Clark: 11 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST
• Aziaha James: 6 PTS, 3 REB, 1 AST

Valkyries player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

• Gabby Williams: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST
• Janelle Salaun: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST
• Veronica Burton: 10 PTS, 3 REB, 5 AST
• Tiffany Hayes: 9 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST
• Cecilia Zandalasini: 9 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

Game info & tip-off details

Friday's Game 3 between the Valkyries and Wings at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 68.6% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.