Wings vs. Valkyries prediction sees Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [9/27/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Dimers' simulation model projects a 68.4% win probability for the Valkyries at Chase Center.

The Dallas Wings take on the Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action.
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries WNBA prediction for Sunday, September 27, 2026.

WNBA action continues on Sunday at 9:00 PM ET as the Dallas Wings square off with the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner in this Wings vs. Valkyries prediction.

The Valkyries, who have star players such as Janelle Salaun, Gabby Williams and Veronica Burton, are set to take on the Wings, featuring Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.

Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 17 points and 3 threes.

Paige Bueckers 2026.
Wings star Paige Bueckers is projected to score 17 points against the Valkyries.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Valkyries prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Wings and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Valkyries a 68.4% chance of defeating the Wings. According to our model, the Wings (+6.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 153.5-point over/under has a 61.6% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Wings +6.5 (+105) / Valkyries -6.5 (-126)
  • Moneyline: Wings +270, Valkyries -285
  • Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Wings +6.5 @ 49¢ via Kalshi
  • Moneyline: Wings @ 27¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 153.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Betting on Wings vs. Valkyries WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Janelle Salaun is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists for the Valkyries.

When evaluating the first basket market, Gabby Williams is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.8% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Paige Bueckers 17 4 6 3 35
A. Ogunbowale 13 3 3 2 26
Jessica Shepard 11 11 8 0 40
Maddy Siegrist 7 4 1 2 15
Awak Kuier 6 5 1 1 22

Valkyries player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Janelle Salaun 12 4 1 2 22
Gabby Williams 12 3 2 2 24
Veronica Burton 10 3 5 1 26
Tiffany Hayes 9 2 3 1 19
C. Zandalasini 8 2 2 1 17

Game info & tip-off details

Sunday's matchup between the Valkyries and Wings at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 68.4% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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