Sun vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 21 points in Sunday's WNBA game [8/2/2026]

The Dallas Wings will take on the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at College Park Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Wings prediction.

The Wings, who have star players like Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Sun, who feature Brittney Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Leila Lacan.

Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 21 points and 1 three.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Sun and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Wings an 81.4% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+10.5) have a 54.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 54.7% chance of staying under,.

Sun vs. Wings odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Wings
Spread	+10.5 (+100)	-10.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+488	-488
Total	o172.5 (-108)	u172.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Wings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +10.5	+100
Moneyline	Sun	+488
Total	Under 172.5	+104

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 172.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Wings player props

WNBA player props are a great way to wager on the Sun vs. Wings game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.

Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Sun with 16 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.

For early game action, the data identifies Brittney Griner as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brittney Griner	16	6	2	0	31
O. Nelson-Ododa	13	6	2	0	28
Leila Lacan	12	2	5	1	28
Diamond Miller	11	3	2	1	21
Kennedy Burke	8	3	2	1	18

Wings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	21	4	6	1	40
A. Ogunbowale	16	3	4	2	30
Jessica Shepard	15	10	6	0	40
Azzi Fudd	15	2	3	2	28
Awak Kuier	7	3	1	1	17

Sun vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Wings and Sun at College Park Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings
• Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: College Park Center

Conclusion

We predict the Wings, with an 81.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.