Sky vs. Storm prediction: Chicago favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [8/16/2026]
Get Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Seattle Storm and Chicago Sky will meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 5:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sky vs. Storm prediction.
The Storm, powered by Dominique Malonga, Flau'jae Johnson and Jordan Horston, are set to take on the Sky, featuring Kamilla Cardoso, Courtney Vandersloot and Natasha Cloud.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sky a 56.4% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+2.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 57.2% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Sky -2.5 (-102) / Storm +2.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Sky -122, Storm +120
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Storm +2.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Sky @ -122 via Novig
- Total: Under 178.5 @ -112 via FanDuel
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Storm player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Sky vs. Storm matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Kamilla Cardoso is expected to lead the Sky with 14 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dominique Malonga as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| C. Vandersloot | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 31 |
| D. Carrington | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Azura Stevens | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Jordan Horston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Jade Melbourne | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 23 |
| Awa Fam | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Sky vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Storm and Sky at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 56.4% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
