Sky vs. Storm prediction: Chicago favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [8/16/2026]

The Seattle Storm and Chicago Sky are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 5:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sky vs. Storm prediction.

The Storm, led by Dominique Malonga, Flau'jae Johnson and Jordan Horston, are set to take on the Sky, featuring DiJonai Carrington, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Sky and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sky a 58.0% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+2.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 177.5 points has a 56.0% chance of staying under,.

Sky vs. Storm odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sky -2.5 (+104) / Storm +2.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Sky -127, Storm +125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky -2.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sky @ -127 via Novig
• Total: Under 177.5 @ +100 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Storm player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Sky vs. Storm matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

DiJonai Carrington is expected to lead the Sky with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 17 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.

When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.8% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Carrington	17	4	1	1	29
Kamilla Cardoso	14	8	2	0	33
Natasha Cloud	11	3	7	1	31
C. Vandersloot	9	3	5	1	27
Jacy Sheldon	8	2	2	2	17

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	17	9	2	1	39
F. Johnson	12	4	3	1	27
Jordan Horston	11	5	2	2	25
Jade Melbourne	10	2	4	2	25
Zia Cooke	9	2	1	1	15

Sky vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Storm and Sky at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sky, with a 58.0% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.