Dolphins vs. Parramatta Eels prediction: Dolphins favored to win Friday's NRL Round 25 matchup [8/21/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Eels and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dolphins an 82.6% chance of beating the Eels.

According to our model, the Eels (+14.5) have a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 56.8% chance of staying under,.

Eels vs. Dolphins odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Eels +290, Dolphins -417

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Eels vs. Dolphins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Eels +14.5 @ -120 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ -417 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 51.5 @ -112 via BetRivers

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dolphins vs. Eels game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Dolphins and Eels at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00 AM ET.

• Who: Parramatta Eels vs. Dolphins
• Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
• Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Venue: Suncorp Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with an 82.6% win probability, will likely beat the Eels in Friday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.