South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 21 matchup [7/24/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm predictions for NRL Friday.

South Sydney Rabbitohs-Melbourne Storm Predictions and Game Preview.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm NRL prediction for Friday, July 24, 2026.

NRL action continues on Friday at 6:00 AM ET as the Melbourne Storm take on the South Sydney Rabbitohs at Stadium Australia.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Storm as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Rabbitohs game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rabbitohs vs. Storm prediction: Who will win Round 21 game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL game between the Storm and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Storm a 54.2% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.

According to our model, the Rabbitohs (+1.5) have a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 52.2% chance of staying under,.

 

Storm vs. Souths odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Storm Rabbitohs
H2H (Moneyline) -130 +102
Line (Spread) -1.5 (-110) +1.5 (-115)
Total o46.5 (-115) u46.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Storm -1.5 -110
Moneyline Storm -130
Total Under 46.5 -115

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 46.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Rabbitohs vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Australian rugby league action between the Rabbitohs and Storm at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 6:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Melbourne Storm vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
  • Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
  • Venue: Stadium Australia

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 54.2% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Friday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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