Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Rangers
- Maple Leafs
- Pavel Dorofeyev35.4%
- Mika Zibanejad32.8%
- Alexis Lafreniere30.9%
- Gabe Perreault
- J.T. Miller
- Auston Matthews38.1%
- William Nylander36.2%
- Marshall Rifai27.8%
- Kirill Marchenko
- Jack Roslovic
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: NY Rangers Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Rangers (+1.5, -240), Maple Leafs (-1.5, +245)
- Moneyline: Rangers -108, Maple Leafs +104
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+102/-106)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Rangers: 50.8%
- Maple Leafs: 49.2%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Pavel Dorofeyev, Rangers: 34.9%
- Mika Zibanejad, Rangers: 32.7%
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 37.4%
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 36.1%
Want the best picks for this game?
The most likely result is not always the bet worth making.
Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Rangers vs. Maple Leafs, including:
- Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
- Best Bets across tonight's full NHL slate.
- Automatic line shopping across major sportsbooks and prediction markets.
- All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.
Unlock every pick for Rangers vs. Maple Leafs with Dimers Pro.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 50.8%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 49.2%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Rangers vs. Maple Leafs, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
When you click or tap a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website we have a commercial relationship with, such as a sportsbook, we may receive a referral fee.