Kings vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Kings vs. Islanders in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Kings
vs.
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Kings
    47.9%
    NovigNovig
  • Islanders
    52.1%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Kings
Probability
  • Artemi Panarin
    32.6%
  • Adrian Kempe
    31.6%
  • Quinton Byfield
    23.1%
  • Alex Laferriere
  • Corey Perry
Islanders
Probability
  • Bo Horvat
    36.5%
  • Matthew Schaefer
    25.3%
  • Emil Heineman
    23.4%
  • Simon Holmstrom
  • Kyle Palmieri

Kings vs. Islanders prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Islanders Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Kings (+1.5, -257), Islanders (-1.5, +245)
  • Moneyline: Kings +106, Islanders -108
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (+102/-106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Kings: 48.0%
  • Islanders: 52.0%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Kings vs. Islanders player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Artemi Panarin, Kings: 32.2%
  • Adrian Kempe, Kings: 32.1%
  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 36.3%
  • Matthew Schaefer, Islanders: 25.4%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 48.0%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 52.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Kings vs. Islanders, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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