Stars vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Stars
- Penguins
- Wyatt Johnston39.2%
- Jason Robertson38.2%
- Mikko Rantanen33.2%
- Roope Hintz
- Tyler Seguin
- Bryan Rust31.9%
- Sidney Crosby30.8%
- Rickard Rakell29.8%
- Evgeni Malkin
- Egor Chinakhov
Stars vs. Penguins prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Saturday
- Teams: Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Stars (-1.5, +165), Penguins (+1.5, -179)
- Moneyline: Stars -149, Penguins +130
- Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-123/+105)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Stars: 54.4%
- Penguins: 45.6%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Stars vs. Penguins player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Wyatt Johnston, Stars: 41.1%
- Jason Robertson, Stars: 37.2%
- Bryan Rust, Penguins: 33.0%
- Sidney Crosby, Penguins: 30.3%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54.4%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 45.6%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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