Maple Leafs vs. Devils Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Devils NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
3
4
Prudential Center
Devils
Prudential Center
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 0 3
Devils
1 1 1 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
  • Devils
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 0 3
Devils
1 1 1 0 4
OT1 04:59 Connor Brown shot blocked by Auston Matthews
OT1 03:14 Shot missed by Paul Cotter
OT1 02:40 Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 01:23 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 00:44 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
OT1 00:07 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 19:48 Shot missed by Arseny Gritsyuk
P3 19:35 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 18:04 Max Domi shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
P3 16:36 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Jonas Siegenthaler
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 13:40 Jack Hughes shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:23 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:37 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Johnathan Kovacevic
P3 11:51 Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
P3 11:15 Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 10:56 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Luke Hughes
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Jesper Bratt on Anthony Stolarz
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by William Nylander
  5. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  6. OT1 04:59
    SHOT
    Connor Brown shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  7. OT1 04:49
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
  8. OT1 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Paul Cotter
  9. OT1 02:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  10. OT1 02:02
    Takeaway by Timo Meier in offensive zone
  11. OT1 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  12. OT1 00:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  13. OT1 00:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
  14. OT1 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in neutral zone
  15. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  16. P3 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arseny Gritsyuk
  17. P3 19:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  18. P3 19:30
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  19. P3 19:23
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
  20. P3 18:43
    Takeaway by Timo Meier in defensive zone
  21. P3 18:04
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
  22. P3 17:39
    Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  23. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jacob Markstrom
  24. P3 16:08
    Luke Hughes credited with hit on Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  25. P3 15:17
    Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  26. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonas Siegenthaler
  27. P3 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  28. P3 13:50
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
  29. P3 13:40
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by teammate
  30. P3 13:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  31. P3 12:40
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  32. P3 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  33. P3 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  34. P3 12:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Johnathan Kovacevic
  35. P3 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
  36. P3 11:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  37. P3 10:56
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Luke Hughes
  38. P3 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  39. P3 10:27
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  40. P3 10:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  41. P3 09:40
    John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  42. P3 09:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 09:31
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  44. P3 09:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Anthony Stolarz
  46. P3 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  47. P3 07:46
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
  48. P3 07:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  49. P3 07:44
    SHOT
    Paul Cotter shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
  50. P3 06:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  51. P3 04:41
    John Tavares won faceoff against Cody Glass in defensive zone
  52. P3 04:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
  54. P3 03:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Anthony Stolarz
  55. P3 02:21
    Takeaway by Dawson Mercer in defensive zone
  56. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
  57. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  58. P3 00:00
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  59. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  60. P2 19:52
    Power play - Giveaway by Jack Hughes in offensive zone
  61. P2 19:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  62. P2 18:40
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  63. P2 17:11
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  64. P2 16:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  65. P2 15:11
    Takeaway by Jesper Bratt in offensive zone
  66. P2 14:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  67. P2 14:13
    Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  68. P2 13:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dawson Mercer saved by Anthony Stolarz
  69. P2 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Nemec
  70. P2 13:18
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  71. P2 13:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  72. P2 13:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
  73. P2 13:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
  74. P2 12:18
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  75. P2 11:45
    Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  76. P2 11:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  77. P2 11:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  78. P2 11:12
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  79. P2 11:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  80. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Timo Meier shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  81. P2 10:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 10:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  83. P2 10:00
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  84. P2 10:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  85. P2 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
  86. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dougie Hamilton
  87. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Maple Leafs shot blocked by Simon Nemec
  88. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  89. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
  90. P2 06:06
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  91. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jacob Markstrom
  92. P2 05:19
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  93. P2 04:47
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  94. P2 04:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  95. P2 04:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Jacob Markstrom
  96. P2 04:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Anthony Stolarz
  97. P2 03:50
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  98. P2 03:21
    Jack Hughes won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
  99. P2 03:20
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Easton Cowan
    2-1
  100. P2 03:17
    Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  101. P2 03:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  102. P2 02:59
    Max Domi won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
  103. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  104. P2 01:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jacob Markstrom
  105. P2 01:21
    Shorthanded - Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  106. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Timo Meier
  107. P2 00:18
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  108. P2 00:12
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  109. P2 00:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P2 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in neutral zone
  111. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  112. P1 19:33
    Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Simon Nemec in neutral zone
  113. P1 19:01
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  114. P1 19:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jacob Markstrom
  116. P1 18:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake McCabe shot blocked by Timo Meier
  117. P1 17:26
    Power play - Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
  118. P1 16:16
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  119. P1 15:18
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Connor Brown in neutral zone
  120. P1 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  121. P1 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devils
  122. P1 14:28
    John Tavares won faceoff against Devils in defensive zone
  123. P1 14:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  124. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Nick Bjugstad shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jacob Markstrom
  126. P1 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nico Hischier
  127. P1 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Timo Meier saved by Anthony Stolarz
  128. P1 10:36
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  129. P1 09:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Anthony Stolarz
  130. P1 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Anthony Stolarz
  131. P1 08:07
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Simon Nemec
  132. P1 07:55
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Hughes in neutral zone
  133. P1 07:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Timo Meier assisted by Nico Hischier and Dawson Mercer
    1-1
  134. P1 07:36
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  135. P1 07:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  136. P1 07:34
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Arseny Gritsyuk
  137. P1 07:16
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Devils in neutral zone
  138. P1 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timo Meier
  139. P1 05:26
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in neutral zone
  140. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  141. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cody Glass
  142. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cody Glass
  143. P1 04:24
    Cody Glass won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  144. P1 04:17
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  145. P1 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  146. P1 03:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  147. P1 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jacob Markstrom
  148. P1 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  149. P1 02:11
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Simon Nemec
  150. P1 01:42
    SHOT
    Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Brenden Dillon
  151. P1 01:38
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
  152. P1 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jacob Markstrom
  153. P1 01:35
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
  154. P1 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jacob Markstrom
  155. P1 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  156. P1 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  157. P1 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
  158. P1 00:29
    Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
  159. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Devils
27Shots on Goal47
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
16Hits10
13 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways18
Maple LeafsTOR
DevilsNJ
27Shots on Goal47
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
16Hits10
13 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways18

Maple Leafs vs. Devils: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Devils
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Prudential Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Devils favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +110, Devils -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 49%
  • Devils: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Devils have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Devils are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Prudential Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Devils predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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