Golden Knights vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Red Wings NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Golden Knights
4
3
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123OTT
Golden Knights
1 0 2 1 4
Red Wings
3 0 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    100%
  • Red Wings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Golden Knights
1 0 2 1 4
Red Wings
3 0 0 0 3
OT1 02:11 Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
OT1 01:08 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:40 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 19:19 Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P3 19:12 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 18:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:36 Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
P3 16:32 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 12:35 Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
P3 12:14 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
P3 11:35 Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
P3 10:28 Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:03 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
P3 08:55 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
P3 08:53 Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:00 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:22 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 02:11
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  3. OT1 02:11
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Tomas Hertl assisted by Mitch Marner and Rasmus Andersson
    4-3
  4. OT1 01:52
    Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  5. OT1 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  6. OT1 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
  7. OT1 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  8. OT1 00:00
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  9. P3 19:41
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  10. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  11. P3 19:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  12. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Adin Hill
  13. P3 18:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  14. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Adin Hill
  15. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Adin Hill
  16. P3 17:08
    Takeaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  17. P3 17:06
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
  18. P3 16:36
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  19. P3 16:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Tomas Hertl and Shea Theodore
    3-3
  20. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  21. P3 13:24
    Takeaway by Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  22. P3 13:19
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  23. P3 12:35
    SHOT
    Colton Sissons shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  24. P3 12:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Cam Talbot
  25. P3 11:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ivan Barbashev assisted by Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin
    2-3
  26. P3 11:23
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  27. P3 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Adin Hill
  28. P3 09:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Cam Talbot
  30. P3 08:55
    SHOT
    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
  31. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 07:59
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  33. P3 07:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  34. P3 07:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 06:00
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  36. P3 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Cam Talbot
  37. P3 04:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  38. P3 04:02
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
  39. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colton Sissons
  40. P3 01:24
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  41. P3 01:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  42. P3 00:53
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  43. P3 00:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  44. P3 00:10
    SHOT
    James van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
  45. P3 00:00
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  46. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  47. P2 18:46
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  48. P2 18:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  49. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  50. P2 17:56
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  51. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
  52. P2 17:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
  53. P2 17:25
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Albert Johansson
  56. P2 15:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  57. P2 15:02
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Golden Knights saved by Cam Talbot
  58. P2 14:50
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  60. P2 14:31
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  61. P2 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  62. P2 13:35
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  63. P2 13:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  64. P2 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
  65. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  66. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
  67. P2 09:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  68. P2 09:14
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  69. P2 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
  70. P2 07:48
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  71. P2 07:32
    Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Ivan Barbashev in offensive zone
  72. P2 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Adin Hill
  73. P2 06:43
    Giveaway by Dominik Shine in defensive zone
  74. P2 06:40
    SHOT
    Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  75. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  76. P2 05:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
  77. P2 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Cam Talbot
  78. P2 04:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  79. P2 03:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Cam Talbot
  80. P2 03:47
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  81. P2 03:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  82. P2 02:57
    Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  83. P2 02:51
    Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  84. P2 02:41
    SHOT
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  85. P2 02:11
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  86. P2 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  87. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Cam Talbot
  88. P2 00:00
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  89. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  90. P1 18:47
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  91. P1 17:48
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  92. P1 17:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  93. P1 17:46
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Patrick Kane
  94. P1 17:26
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  95. P1 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Cam Talbot
  96. P1 16:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  97. P1 16:51
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  98. P1 16:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  99. P1 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Reinhardt saved by Cam Talbot
  100. P1 16:22
    SHOT
    Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  101. P1 16:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  102. P1 15:03
    SHOT
    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  103. P1 13:59
    Dominik Shine credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
  104. P1 13:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P1 13:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Adin Hill
  106. P1 12:28
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  107. P1 12:28
    Stoppage
  108. P1 12:21
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  109. P1 12:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 10:20
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  111. P1 10:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Smith
  112. P1 09:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
  113. P1 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  114. P1 07:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Adin Hill
  115. P1 07:07
    SHOT
    Braeden Bowman shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  116. P1 06:53
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  117. P1 06:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P1 06:19
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
  119. P1 06:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Adin Hill
  120. P1 05:58
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  121. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Adin Hill
  122. P1 05:18
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  123. P1 04:33
    Takeaway by Kaedan Korczak in defensive zone
  124. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  125. P1 03:53
    Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  126. P1 03:32
    Giveaway by Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  127. P1 03:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  128. P1 03:18
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Albert Johansson in defensive zone
  129. P1 03:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Adin Hill
  130. P1 02:12
    Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
  131. P1 02:10
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brandon Saad in defensive zone
  132. P1 01:50
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  133. P1 01:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Reilly Smith assisted by Mitch Marner and Pavel Dorofeyev
    1-0
  134. P1 00:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  135. P1 00:00
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Red Wings
25Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
10 Shots Blocked 16
11Giveaways13
Golden KnightsVGK
Red WingsDET
25Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
10 Shots Blocked 16
11Giveaways13

Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +118, Red Wings -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 47%
  • Red Wings: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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