Stars vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Flames NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Stars
6
1
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
TEAM123T
Stars
2 4 0 6
Flames
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Flames
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
2 4 0 6
Flames
1 0 0 1
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Devin Cooley
P3 19:15 Adam Erne shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P3 18:20 Power play - Stars shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 18:09 Power play - Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 14:29 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:39 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:28 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P3 12:53 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 12:46 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:46 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:16 Shot missed by Adam Klapka
P3 11:46 Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Devin Cooley
P3 11:14 Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 04:09 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 03:54 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 03:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Devin Cooley
P3 02:55 Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P3 01:27 Shot missed by Adam Erne
P3 01:25 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:52
    Oskar Back won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  3. P3 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Devin Cooley
  4. P3 19:15
    SHOT
    Adam Erne shot blocked by Joel Hanley
  5. P3 18:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Stars shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  6. P3 18:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  7. P3 16:58
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  8. P3 15:33
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  9. P3 14:31
    Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  10. P3 14:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
  11. P3 13:50
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  12. P3 13:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Casey DeSmith
  13. P3 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
  14. P3 12:53
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  15. P3 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  16. P3 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  17. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Klapka
  18. P3 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Devin Cooley
  19. P3 11:21
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:16
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  21. P3 11:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 11:14
    SHOT
    Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  23. P3 10:01
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  24. P3 10:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  25. P3 09:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
  26. P3 07:52
    John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in defensive zone
  27. P3 07:48
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  28. P3 07:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 07:23
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  30. P3 07:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 05:46
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  32. P3 04:15
    Adam Klapka credited with hit on Lian Bichsel in offensive zone
  33. P3 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  34. P3 03:56
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  35. P3 03:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  36. P3 03:54
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  37. P3 03:50
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  38. P3 03:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  39. P3 03:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Devin Cooley
  40. P3 02:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
  41. P3 01:44
    Penalty to Joel Hanley 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  42. P3 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Erne
  43. P3 01:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
  44. P3 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
  45. P3 01:08
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  46. P3 01:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  47. P3 00:23
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by teammate
  48. P3 00:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Devin Cooley
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:41
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  51. P2 19:03
    Penalty to Adam Klapka 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Adam Erne)
  52. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Beecher
  53. P2 18:50
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Adam Klapka
  54. P2 18:42
    SHOT
    Adam Erne shot blocked by Ryan Lomberg
  55. P2 18:40
    Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  56. P2 18:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  57. P2 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
  58. P2 15:32
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  59. P2 15:32
    Penalty to MacKenzie Weegar 2 minutes for Misconduct
  60. P2 14:56
    Penalty to Miro Heiskanen 2 minutes for Holding
  61. P2 14:49
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  62. P2 14:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  63. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
  64. P2 14:42
    Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  65. P2 14:36
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  66. P2 14:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  67. P2 13:03
    SHOT
    Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Joel Hanley
  68. P2 12:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  69. P2 12:24
    Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Oskar Back in defensive zone
  70. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
  71. P2 09:51
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  72. P2 09:51
    Penalty to Joel Hanley 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  73. P2 09:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Casey DeSmith
  74. P2 09:30
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by teammate
  75. P2 08:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nathan Bastian assisted by Nils Lundkvist and Thomas Harley
    5-1
  76. P2 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
  77. P2 07:51
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by teammate
  78. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Adam Erne shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
  79. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  80. P2 06:02
    Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  81. P2 06:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sam Steel assisted by Matt Duchene and Esa Lindell
    4-1
  82. P2 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Casey DeSmith
  83. P2 05:25
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  84. P2 04:19
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  85. P2 03:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Dustin Wolf
  86. P2 03:32
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  87. P2 03:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P2 03:24
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
  89. P2 03:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P2 03:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  91. P2 03:09
    John Beecher won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  92. P2 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
  93. P2 02:44
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:34
    Arttu Hyry credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
  95. P2 02:26
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  96. P2 00:00
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  99. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dustin Wolf
  100. P1 18:37
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Adam Klapka
  101. P1 16:28
    Giveaway by Matt Coronato in neutral zone
  102. P1 16:20
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  103. P1 16:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  104. P1 15:28
    Adam Erne credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
  105. P1 14:28
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  106. P1 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Casey DeSmith
  107. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Sam Steel
  108. P1 14:03
    John Beecher won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  109. P1 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Casey DeSmith
  110. P1 13:59
    John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  111. P1 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Casey DeSmith
  112. P1 13:53
    John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  113. P1 12:21
    Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  114. P1 12:12
    SHOT
    Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  115. P1 11:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Matt Duchene and Sam Steel
    2-1
  116. P1 11:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 10:48
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  118. P1 10:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf
  119. P1 10:13
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  120. P1 10:02
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  121. P1 09:52
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  122. P1 09:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Morgan Frost assisted by Blake Coleman and Adam Klapka
    1-1
  123. P1 09:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stars
  124. P1 08:44
    Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  125. P1 08:11
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  126. P1 07:59
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  127. P1 07:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  128. P1 07:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Casey DeSmith
  129. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dustin Wolf
  130. P1 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  131. P1 05:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  132. P1 04:56
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  133. P1 04:56
    Penalty to Mavrik Bourque 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Dustin Wolf)
  134. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Dustin Wolf
  135. P1 03:32
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  136. P1 03:32
    Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
  137. P1 03:11
    Stoppage - Offside
  138. P1 02:49
    Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Nathan Bastian in offensive zone
  139. P1 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
  140. P1 02:03
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
  141. P1 00:17
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  142. P1 00:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P1 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund
  144. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Flames
35Shots on Goal21
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits18
11 Shots Blocked 20
16Giveaways22
StarsDAL
FlamesCGY
35Shots on Goal21
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits18
11 Shots Blocked 20
16Giveaways22

Stars vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Flames
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars -130, Flames +118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 56%
  • Flames: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 56%, while the Flames have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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