Islanders vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Capitals NHL game on February 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
1
4
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 0 1
Capitals
0 2 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 0 1
Capitals
0 2 2 4
P3 19:10 Power play - Sonny Milano shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 17:27 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 17:19 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 15:28 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 14:40 Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 12:50 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by David Rittich
P3 12:46 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by David Rittich
P3 11:48 Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P3 11:13 Adam Pelech shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P3 10:41 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by David Rittich
P3 10:30 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 10:14 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 07:32 Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 06:54 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 05:22 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 04:04 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 03:34 Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 03:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by David Rittich
P3 02:35 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Clay Stevenson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:13
    Power play - Giveaway by Sonny Milano in offensive zone
  3. P3 19:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Sonny Milano shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  4. P3 18:51
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 18:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  7. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Clay Stevenson
  8. P3 17:35
    Sonny Milano won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  9. P3 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  10. P3 17:19
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  11. P3 16:48
    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in defensive zone
  12. P3 15:30
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. P3 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Clay Stevenson
  15. P3 15:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 14:43
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  17. P3 14:43
    Stoppage
  18. P3 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
  19. P3 13:38
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  20. P3 13:21
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  21. P3 13:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 12:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by David Rittich
  23. P3 12:48
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  24. P3 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by David Rittich
  25. P3 11:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  26. P3 11:13
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  27. P3 10:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by David Rittich
  28. P3 10:30
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  29. P3 10:18
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  30. P3 10:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Clay Stevenson
  31. P3 09:45
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
  32. P3 09:18
    Anthony Duclair credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  33. P3 08:46
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  34. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Clay Stevenson
  35. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  36. P3 06:26
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  37. P3 06:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  38. P3 05:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Clay Stevenson
  39. P3 04:04
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  40. P3 04:03
    Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  41. P3 03:37
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  42. P3 03:37
    Penalty to Carson Soucy 2 minutes for High Sticking
  43. P3 03:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  44. P3 03:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by David Rittich
  45. P3 02:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Clay Stevenson
  46. P3 02:18
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  47. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  48. P3 01:47
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Scott Mayfield)
  49. P3 01:47
    Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for Misconduct
  50. P3 01:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  51. P3 01:42
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
  52. P3 00:28
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  53. P3 00:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  54. P3 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by David Rittich
  55. P3 00:08
    Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
  56. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  57. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
  58. P2 19:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  59. P2 18:25
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  60. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by David Rittich
  61. P2 17:37
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
  62. P2 17:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  63. P2 17:35
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  64. P2 17:23
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  65. P2 16:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  66. P2 16:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by David Rittich
  67. P2 16:31
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  68. P2 16:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  69. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  70. P2 15:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Clay Stevenson
  71. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
  72. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  73. P2 10:52
    Giveaway by Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
  74. P2 10:25
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  75. P2 10:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  76. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nic Dowd
  77. P2 08:58
    Nic Dowd credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  78. P2 08:44
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  79. P2 08:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Clay Stevenson
  80. P2 08:23
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  81. P2 08:18
    Hendrix Lapierre credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  82. P2 07:10
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  83. P2 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Clay Stevenson
  84. P2 07:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 06:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Clay Stevenson
  86. P2 06:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  87. P2 06:32
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  88. P2 06:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  89. P2 06:00
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  90. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  91. P2 05:29
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  92. P2 04:26
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  93. P2 04:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 04:04
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  95. P2 03:35
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Emil Heineman in defensive zone
  96. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Clay Stevenson
  97. P2 02:41
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on John Carlson in offensive zone
  98. P2 02:39
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  99. P2 02:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  100. P2 01:32
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  101. P2 01:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Clay Stevenson
  102. P2 00:23
    Power play - Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  103. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  104. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  105. P1 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Clay Stevenson
  106. P1 19:41
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Ondrej Palat)
  107. P1 19:06
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  108. P1 18:52
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  109. P1 18:07
    SHOT
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  110. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  111. P1 17:53
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  112. P1 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by David Rittich
  113. P1 17:43
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  114. P1 16:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Clay Stevenson
  115. P1 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Clay Stevenson
  116. P1 15:47
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  117. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Clay Stevenson
  118. P1 15:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Clay Stevenson
  119. P1 14:34
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  120. P1 14:11
    Giveaway by Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  121. P1 13:54
    Hendrix Lapierre credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  122. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by David Rittich
  123. P1 12:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sonny Milano
  124. P1 12:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  125. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  126. P1 10:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 10:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by David Rittich
  128. P1 10:51
    Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Nic Dowd)
  129. P1 10:51
    Islanders won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  130. P1 10:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Clay Stevenson
  131. P1 09:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  132. P1 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by David Rittich
  133. P1 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by David Rittich
  134. P1 07:11
    Carson Soucy credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
  135. P1 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  136. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
  137. P1 05:14
    SHOT
    Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  138. P1 04:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Islanders
  139. P1 04:24
    Shorthanded - Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  140. P1 04:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Clay Stevenson
  141. P1 03:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  142. P1 03:42
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  143. P1 03:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  144. P1 03:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  145. P1 02:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  146. P1 02:26
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  147. P1 02:26
    Stoppage
  148. P1 02:03
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  149. P1 02:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 01:36
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  151. P1 01:14
    Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  152. P1 00:24
    Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
  153. P1 00:19
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  154. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Clay Stevenson
  155. P1 00:00
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Capitals
30Shots on Goal24
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins9
18Hits27
12 Shots Blocked 23
14Giveaways16
IslandersNYI
CapitalsWSH
30Shots on Goal24
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins9
18Hits27
12 Shots Blocked 23
14Giveaways16

Islanders vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Capitals
  • Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +110, Capitals -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 46%
  • Capitals: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 46%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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