Senators vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Penguins NHL game on February 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
3
2
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Senators
0 1 2 3
Penguins
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    100%
  • Penguins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
0 1 2 3
Penguins
1 0 1 2
P3 18:45 Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 18:10 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:08 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:49 Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P3 12:37 Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 11:48 Shorthanded - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P3 08:45 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:15 Michael Amadio shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P3 08:10 Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:16 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 06:46 Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson
P3 05:48 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 04:52 Nick Jensen shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 03:20 Shot missed by Lars Eller
P3 00:53 Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 19:44 Power play - Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P2 19:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 19:27 Artem Zub shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P2 17:47 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:59
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:51
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:51
    Stoppage
  5. P3 19:18
    Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  7. P3 18:45
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  8. P3 18:40
    Senators won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  9. P3 18:10
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  10. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
  11. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
  12. P3 16:30
    Shorthanded - Connor Clifton credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  13. P3 14:52
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  14. P3 14:52
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  15. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  16. P3 12:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  17. P3 12:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  18. P3 11:48
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  19. P3 11:25
    Senators won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  20. P3 11:10
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  21. P3 10:51
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  22. P3 10:51
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  23. P3 10:51
    Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Misconduct
  24. P3 10:51
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  25. P3 08:50
    Rutger McGroarty credited with hit on Jordan Spence in neutral zone
  26. P3 08:48
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  27. P3 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Linus Ullmark
  28. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Michael Amadio shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  29. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Arturs Silovs
  30. P3 07:18
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  31. P3 07:16
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  32. P3 06:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson
    2-1
  33. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  34. P3 05:18
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  35. P3 05:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 05:13
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  37. P3 04:52
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  38. P3 04:49
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  39. P3 03:44
    Evgeni Malkin credited with hit on Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
  40. P3 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lars Eller
  41. P3 02:30
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  42. P3 02:08
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  43. P3 02:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  44. P3 00:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  45. P3 00:49
    Senators won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:14
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  47. P3 00:14
    Stoppage
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  50. P2 19:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Arturs Silovs
  51. P2 19:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  52. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  53. P2 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Linus Ullmark
  54. P2 16:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Arturs Silovs
  55. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  56. P2 15:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  57. P2 14:29
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  58. P2 13:37
    Takeaway by Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  59. P2 13:32
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  60. P2 13:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  61. P2 13:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  62. P2 12:34
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  63. P2 11:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  64. P2 11:35
    Stoppage - Offside
  65. P2 10:44
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  66. P2 10:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  67. P2 09:30
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  68. P2 08:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  69. P2 07:35
    Giveaway by Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  70. P2 07:13
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in neutral zone
  71. P2 05:59
    Giveaway by Ilya Solovyov in neutral zone
  72. P2 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  73. P2 05:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  74. P2 04:45
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  75. P2 04:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  76. P2 03:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  77. P2 03:25
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  78. P2 03:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  79. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stephen Halliday
  80. P2 01:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Michael Amadio assisted by Tyler Kleven and Shane Pinto
    1-1
  81. P2 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  82. P2 00:34
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  83. P2 00:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  84. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  85. P1 19:25
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  86. P1 19:25
    Stoppage
  87. P1 19:09
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
  88. P1 18:51
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  89. P1 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
  90. P1 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Arturs Silovs
  91. P1 17:37
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
  92. P1 16:49
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  93. P1 15:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  94. P1 15:44
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  95. P1 15:44
    Penalty to Ilya Solovyov 2 minutes for High Sticking
  96. P1 15:27
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  97. P1 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  98. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  99. P1 14:28
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  100. P1 13:57
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  101. P1 13:55
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  102. P1 13:41
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  103. P1 13:41
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  104. P1 13:23
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  105. P1 13:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Linus Ullmark
  106. P1 13:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  107. P1 12:17
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  108. P1 12:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Arturs Silovs
  109. P1 11:28
    Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  110. P1 10:47
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  111. P1 10:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Arturs Silovs
  112. P1 10:04
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  113. P1 10:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  114. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  115. P1 07:57
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  116. P1 07:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov assisted by Evgeni Malkin and Parker Wotherspoon
    0-1
  117. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  118. P1 06:48
    Takeaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  119. P1 06:42
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  120. P1 05:56
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  121. P1 05:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  122. P1 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Arturs Silovs
  123. P1 05:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  124. P1 04:54
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  125. P1 04:41
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  126. P1 04:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
  127. P1 03:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  128. P1 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Solovyov saved by Linus Ullmark
  129. P1 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  130. P1 01:17
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  131. P1 01:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  132. P1 00:57
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  133. P1 00:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  134. P1 00:00
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stats
Senators
STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal16
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins10
18Hits25
9 Shots Blocked 17
12Giveaways18
SenatorsOTT
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal16
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins10
18Hits25
9 Shots Blocked 17
12Giveaways18

Senators vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Penguins
  • Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -118, Penguins +102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 50%
  • Penguins: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 50%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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