NHL player props today: Friday's best props include Evgeni Malkin [10/16/2026]

Evgeni Malkin over 1.5 shots on goal (-150)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Penguins' Evgeni Malkin going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 64.3% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -150 odds.

Judd Caulfield under 1.5 shots on goal (+115)

• Edge: 15.9%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Bruins vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Judd Caulfield’s shots on goal prop shows a 62.4% probability and an 15.9% edge at +115 odds, according to our model.

Artturi Lehkonen to score a point (+115)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Artturi Lehkonen to score a point, with simulations showing a 51.7% probability and a 5.2% edge at +115.

Cale Makar under 2.5 shots on goal (+120)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cale Makar under 2.5 shots on goal, with a 49.9% probability and an edge of 4.4% at +120 odds.

T.J. Hughes under 1.5 shots on goal (+120)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on T.J. Hughes under 1.5 shots on goal for Avalanche, showing an edge of 3.4% at +120 odds.

Beckett Sennecke to record an assist (+140)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Game: Bruins vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Beckett Sennecke’s assist prop shows an edge of 3.2% at +140 odds, supported by a 44.9% probability according to our model.

Martin Necas anytime goal scorer (+165)

• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 38.7%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Martin Necas anytime goal scorer for Avalanche, with a 38.7% probability and a 1.0% edge at +165 odds.

Morgan Geekie anytime goal scorer (+200)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 34.7%
• Game: Bruins vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Morgan Geekie anytime goal scorer, supported by a 34.7% probability at +200 odds and an edge of 1.3%.

Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer (+285)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 32.0%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

A 6.1% edge on the anytime goal line makes Artturi Lehkonen a value play in Penguins vs. Avalanche, supported by a 32.0% probability at +285 odds.

Brock Nelson anytime goal scorer (+260)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 30.0%
• Game: Penguins vs. Avalanche (9:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Brock Nelson anytime goal scorer here, with a 30.0% probability and 2.2% edge at +260 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Friday, October 16, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:57AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 16, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Evgeni Malkin, Judd Caulfield and Artturi Lehkonen. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.