Titans vs. Ravens prediction favors Baltimore to win in NFL Week 4 [2026]

Since our Titans-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Titans and Ravens, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Ravens an 85.0% chance of defeating the Titans in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 27-15.

Key factors favoring the Ravens:

• Baltimore Ravens Team Rating
• Tennessee Titans Offense
• Baltimore Ravens Offense

According to our model, the Ravens (-11.5) have a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 4 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Titans +11.5 (-102) / Ravens -11.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Titans +590, Ravens -614
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Ravens -11.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Titans @ 14¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ravens -11.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Titans vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Titans vs. Ravens?

According to our model, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Titans vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 64.5% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 19.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Tennessee Titans

• Tony Pollard (RB): 27.4% probability
• Tyjae Spears (RB): 18.4%
• Carnell Tate (WR): 17.0%
• Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 15.9%
• Cam Ward (QB): 13.9%

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 64.5% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 37.8%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 31.1%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 26.9%
• Rashod Bateman (WR): 20.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Tennessee Titans

• Tony Pollard (RB): 7.0% prob.
• Tyjae Spears (RB): 4.5%
• Carnell Tate (WR): 4.1%
• Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 3.8%
• Cam Ward (QB): 3.3%

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 19.3% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 8.9%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 6.9%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 5.8%
• Rashod Bateman (WR): 4.4%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Titans and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 4 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Titans' Cam Ward is projected for 193 passing yards. The Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 221 yards.

Titans rushing

• Tony Pollard: 51 yds
• Tyjae Spears: 20 yds
• Cam Ward: 13 yds

Ravens rushing

• Derrick Henry: 98 yds
• Lamar Jackson: 36 yds
• Justice Hill: 21 yds

Titans receiving

• Carnell Tate: 50 yds
• Wan'Dale Robinson: 42 yds
• Elic Ayomanor: 25 yds
• Gunnar Helm: 24 yds
• Tyjae Spears: 15 yds

Ravens receiving

• Zay Flowers: 74 yds
• Mark Andrews: 41 yds
• Rashod Bateman: 33 yds
• Chris Moore: 15 yds
• Justice Hill: 15 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Ravens and Titans at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Week 4 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.