NFL player props today: Week 4 best props include Emanuel Wilson [10/4/2026]

Emanuel Wilson under 1.5 receptions (-154)

• Edge: 23.5%
• Probability: 84.2%
• Projection: 0.7
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Our model has found value on Seahawks' Emanuel Wilson under 1.5 receptions. A probability of 84.2% gives this play an edge of 23.5% at -154 odds.

George Holani under 36.5 rushing yards (-113)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Projection: 36.8
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

George Holani’s rushing yards prop shows a 4.2% edge at -113 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 36.8 rushing yards on the under 36.5 line.

Emanuel Wilson over 47.5 rushing yards (-108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Projection: 55.8
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

The data highlights value on Emanuel Wilson over 47.5 rushing yards, with simulations showing a 56.4% probability and a 4.5% edge at -108.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown scorer (-108)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score a touchdown, with a 54.9% probability and an edge of 3.0% at -108 odds.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 6.5 receptions (+109)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 52.0%
• Projection: 6.5
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 6.5 receptions for Seahawks, showing an edge of 4.1% at +109 odds.

Oronde Gadsden under 2.5 receptions (+105)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Oronde Gadsden’s receptions prop shows an edge of 3.1% at +105 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.6 today.

Omarion Hampton over 1.5 receptions (+129)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 51.0%
• Projection: 1.7
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Our model projects Omarion Hampton for 1.7 receptions for Chargers, creating an edge of 7.3% on over 1.5 at +129 odds.

Tory Horton over 1.5 receptions (+166)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Tory Horton for 1.5 receptions, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +166 odds and a 4.9% edge.

Elijah Arroyo over 1.5 receptions (+296)

• Edge: 15.7%
• Probability: 41.0%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

A 15.7% edge on the over 1.5 receptions line makes Elijah Arroyo a value play in Chargers vs. Seahawks, with our model projecting him for 1.4 receptions at +296 odds.

Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown scorer (+376)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 25.4%
• Game: Chargers vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown scorer here, with a 25.4% probability and 4.4% edge at +376 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 9:11AM ET:

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Today's player props include Emanuel Wilson under 1.5 receptions. Make the most of them with this DraftKings Sportsbook offer:

Conclusion

For October 4, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Emanuel Wilson, George Holani and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.