Rams vs. Eagles prediction: Why Rams are favored to win in NFL Week 4 [2026]

Since our Rams-Eagles predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Rams and Eagles, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rams a 63.4% chance of beating the Eagles in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 23-19.

Key factors favoring the Rams:

• Los Angeles Rams Offense
• Philadelphia Eagles Offense
• Philadelphia Eagles QB Situation

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Rams and Eagles each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 52.0% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

• Los Angeles Rams Pace

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 4 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Rams -3.5 (+100) / Eagles +3.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Rams -178, Eagles +170
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-108/+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Rams -3.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Eagles @ 37¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Rams vs. Eagles TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Rams vs. Eagles?

According to our model, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Rams vs. Eagles.

Our projections give Williams a 46.4% chance of getting in for six at Lincoln Financial Field, while the running back is an 11.7% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 46.4% probability
• Puka Nacua (WR): 39.9%
• Davante Adams (WR): 39.0%
• Blake Corum (RB): 22.6%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 21.5%

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 40.7% prob.
• Jalen Hurts (QB): 30.4%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 26.5%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 20.5%
• Zach Ertz (TE): 13.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 11.7% prob.
• Puka Nacua (WR): 9.5%
• Davante Adams (WR): 9.3%
• Blake Corum (RB): 4.8%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 4.6%

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 10.1% prob.
• Jalen Hurts (QB): 7.0%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 6.0%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 4.5%
• Zach Ertz (TE): 2.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Rams and Eagles. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 4 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Rams' Matthew Stafford is projected for 258 passing yards, while the Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 198 yards.

Rams rushing

• Kyren Williams: 68 yds
• Blake Corum: 46 yds
• Matthew Stafford: 3 yds

Eagles rushing

• Saquon Barkley: 68 yds
• Jalen Hurts: 30 yds
• Tank Bigsby: 13 yds

Rams receiving

• Puka Nacua: 73 yds
• Davante Adams: 71 yds
• Tyler Higbee: 24 yds
• Colby Parkinson: 21 yds
• Kyren Williams: 18 yds

Eagles receiving

• Dontayvion Wicks: 58 yds
• Makai Lemon: 41 yds
• Darius Cooper: 27 yds
• Zach Ertz: 26 yds
• Saquon Barkley: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Eagles and Rams at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 63.4% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Week 4 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.