Zarina Diyas vs. Paula Badosa prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Zarina Diyas and Paula Badosa will lock horns in the first round of the Australian Open 2026 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Paula Badosa as the most likely winner of the Diyas vs. Badosa match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Diyas vs. Badosa prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Diyas-Badosa women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Badosa a 93% chance of beating Diyas in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Badosa has an 88% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Diyas (+7.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 17.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Zarina Diyas vs. Paula Badosa odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Diyas vs. Badosa picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: