Wolves vs. Tottenham: Predicting the correct score in crucial match for Spurs

The Premier League season continues to wind down as we rapidly approach the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but betting on EPL with the Dimers data continues all the way through the final match.

FanDuel's latest promotion features former USMNT star Landon Donovan's featured pick of a 0-0 correct score in the Wolves vs. Tottenham match on Saturday, April 25.

The scoreless draw pays at +1500 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which carries a hefty payout. But is it the right bet to make in this clash. We ran the numbers through Dimers' Premier League prediction model, and the results are clear.

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Wolves vs. Tottenham match preview

First off, Dimers gives Tottenham a 56% chance to win, Wolves a 21.6% upset probability, with a 22.4% chance of a draw. The over/under sits at 2.5 goals, with a 57% chance to go over. Spurs desperately need a win to stave off relegation, while Wolves who have already been officially relegated, enter the fixture stripped of any motivation.

Right off the bat, we have just a 22.4% chance of a draw, meaning just over 1 in 5 simulations of this match end without a dedicated winner, and a draw can be any number of scores from 0-0 to 4-4 and everything in between and beyond.

How does the 0-0 hold up?

At +1500, the sportsbook odds imply a 6.25% probability on the scoreless draw. Dimers' model puts it at just 5%, meaning the book is giving you worse odds than the model supports. Additionally, that score has the same probability as a 2-2 draw at 5%, and as we previously pointed out, there's a 57% probability of at least 3 goals being scored in the game.

Better value on another score?

If you're looking for a betting edge, meaning a better price on the correct score prop than the odds imply, you won't find one, at least in this match.

However, there are several other scores with a higher probability, including three that are twice as likely to occur as the 0-0 draw: a 1-0 Spurs win, the 1-1 draw, and a 2-1 Spurs win, each projected at a10% probability.

Looking for a longshot? Bet the underdog

Dimers puts Wolves' win probability at 21.6%, but their +400 moneyline odds imply only 20%. That's essentially a breakeven line.

For value-hunters, Wolves moneyline is a more defensible bet than the 0-0 correct score. A 1-0 Wolves upset carries fair market odds at 6% and +1500, and carries the correlated datapoint of Dimers' edge on Wolves, presenting a similar result comparable to Donovan's pick but with better supporting data.

Responsible gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-MY-RESET for crisis counseling and support.